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Updated 5 min. ago

41 %
chance
Total volume
$997.953
Liquidity
$713.936
Bid / Ask
16¢ / 66¢
Spread 50¢
Last trade
35¢
Start date
May 13, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 50¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Buy | 35¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 65¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 56 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 56 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 15 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 15 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 18 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 6 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 12 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 58 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 38 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 67¢ | 7 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 67¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 29 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 22 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 29 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 29 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 25 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 99 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 18 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 15 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 41 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 99 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.