← Dashboard · Culture
Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
Politics
31 %
chance
▼ −2.0%24h▲ +6.0%1W
Yes 31¢No 70¢
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
16 outcomes- Nicolás Maduro97 %
- Keir Starmer39 %
- Zohran Mamdani35 %
- Jerome Powell33 %
- Emmanuel Macron31 %
Total volume
$25.954
Liquidity
$25.954
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 55¢
Spread 49¢
Start date
Jun 29, 2026
End date
Jul 31, 2026
ends in 1 day
Data currently unavailable.
Data currently unavailable.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades
No trades available.
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.