← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Pat McFadden be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Other
5 %
chance
▼ −24.0%24h
Yes 5¢No 95¢
Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$77.92
24h vol.
$32
1w vol.
$77.92
1m vol.
$77.92
Liquidity
$8.4K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 6¢
Spread 2¢
Start date
Jul 6, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Data currently unavailable.
Data currently unavailable.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades
No trades available.
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.