← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 min. ago
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Politics
97 %
chance
▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.9%24h▲ +1.2%1W
Yes 97¢No 3¢
Clacton by-election Winner
8 outcomesTotal volume
$1M
24h vol.
$12.8K
1w vol.
$45.3K
1m vol.
$1M
Liquidity
$189K
Bid / Ask
97¢ / 97¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
97¢
Start date
Jul 7, 2026
End date
Aug 13, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Bids (buy)Size
97¢$180
97¢$19,713
97¢$1,144
96¢$59,254
96¢$10
96¢$2,500
96¢$11,299
96¢$11,138
96¢$700
95¢$877
Asks (sell)Size
97¢$9,722
97¢$115
97¢$180
98¢$273
98¢$100
98¢$1,500
98¢$10,060
99¢$150
99¢$2,520
99¢$1,250
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 93%Sells 7%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 369 |
| 60 min. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 20 |
| 60 min. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 349 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 155 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 155 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 155 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 123 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 31 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 161 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 61 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 21 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 21 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 94 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 94 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 4 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 4 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 53 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 53 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 3,763 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 430 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 3,333 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.