← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 7 hr. ago

79 %
chance
Total volume
$263.2K
24h vol.
$5K
1w vol.
$97.9K
1m vol.
$263.2K
Liquidity
$34.8K
Bid / Ask
78¢ / 79¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
78¢
Start date
Jul 8, 2026
End date
Aug 13, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 9 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 9 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 9 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 9 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 13 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 13 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 5 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 22 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 22 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 10 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 10 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 39 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 39 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 49 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 49 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 25 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 25 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 136 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 117 |
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 14 |
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 6 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 25 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 25 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 57 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 57 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 0 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 0 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 18 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 18 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 71 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 71 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 6 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 6 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 30 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 30 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 6 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 79¢ | 87 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 21¢ | 87 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 79¢ | 15 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 21¢ | 15 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 79¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 21¢ | 29 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 79¢ | 1 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 23¢ | 197 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 77¢ | 197 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 79¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 79¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 21¢ | 1 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.