← Dashboard · Politics
Updated just now

74 %
chance
Total volume
$728.6K
24h vol.
$186.2K
1w vol.
$331.7K
1m vol.
$728.6K
Liquidity
$66.4K
Bid / Ask
74¢ / 75¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
74¢
Start date
Jul 12, 2026
End date
Aug 11, 2026
ends 1 day ago
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 12 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 12 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 10 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 10 |
| 9 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 3 |
| 9 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 3 |
| 9 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 8 |
| 9 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 8 |
| 9 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 34 |
| 9 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 34 |
| 11 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 43 |
| 11 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 43 |
| 11 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 2 |
| 11 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 2 |
| 11 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 224 |
| 11 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 224 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 33 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 33 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 34 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 34 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 405 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 11 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 100 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 265 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 24 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 136 |
| 17 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 136 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 317 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 317 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 10 |
| 44 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 10 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 10 |
| 44 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 10 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 467 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 467 |
| 45 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 40 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 40 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 1,950 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 1,950 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 106 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 106 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 207 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 207 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 1,000 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 1,000 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 135 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 135 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 250 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.