← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 min. ago

91 %
chance
Total volume
$1.1M
24h vol.
$45.4K
1w vol.
$641K
1m vol.
$1.1M
Liquidity
$50.6K
Bid / Ask
90¢ / 91¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
91¢
Start date
Jul 16, 2026
End date
Aug 15, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 288 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 51 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 237 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 870 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 870 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 7,000 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 881 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 32 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1,551 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 4,284 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 252 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 1 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 455 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 455 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 1,203 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1,203 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 2,220 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 520 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 800 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 600 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 200 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 3,334 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 1,187 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 109 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 40 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 200 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 35 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 57 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 1,706 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 34 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 34 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 1,248 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 406 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 200 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 7 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 634 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 289 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 289 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 1,111 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 77 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1,034 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 56 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.