← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 7 hr. ago
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Other
19 %
chance
▲ +1.5%24h▼ −9.5%1W
Yes 19¢No 81¢
Israel closes its airspace by...?
3 outcomes- August 1519 %
- July 315 %
- July 240 %
Total volume
$170.5K
24h vol.
$19.3K
1w vol.
$144.9K
1m vol.
$170.5K
Liquidity
$24.1K
Bid / Ask
18¢ / 20¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
19¢
Start date
Jul 18, 2026
End date
Aug 15, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Bids (buy)Size
17¢$962
16¢$339
15¢$2,173
14¢$1,114
13¢$884
11¢$10
10¢$590
9¢$250
8¢$1,873
7¢$4,244
Asks (sell)Size
18¢$100
19¢$1,425
20¢$1,266
21¢$1,038
22¢$1,362
23¢$1,753
24¢$1,546
25¢$570
26¢$1,885
27¢$1,264
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 71%Sells 29%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 82¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 82¢ | 28 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 22 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 82¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 617 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 167 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 20¢ | 500 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 80¢ | 410 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 80¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 80¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 19¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 20¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 80¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 49 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 49 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 123 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 23 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 13 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 13 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 124 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 24 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.