← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 2 min. ago

50 %
chance
Total volume
$85.5K
24h vol.
$34.6K
1w vol.
$83.7K
1m vol.
$85.5K
Liquidity
$16.6K
Bid / Ask
49¢ / 50¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
49¢
Start date
Jul 28, 2026
End date
Aug 7, 2026
ends in 2 days
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 13 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 13 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 14 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 4 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 10 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 2 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 2 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 2 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 2 |
| 19 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 34 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 8 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 10 |
| 19 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 10 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 5 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 5 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 5 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 9 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 9 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 5 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 5 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 150 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 95 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 55 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 4 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 4 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 2 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 2 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 4 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 4 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 4 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 4 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 3 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 3 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 34 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 34 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 2 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 2 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 6 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 6 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 7 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 7 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 50 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 50 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 10 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 10 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 365 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 77 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.