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Updated 1 min. ago

45 %
chance
Total volume
$128.5K
24h vol.
$46.8K
1w vol.
$123.7K
1m vol.
$128.5K
Liquidity
$13.7K
Bid / Ask
44¢ / 45¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
45¢
Start date
Aug 1, 2026
End date
Aug 11, 2026
ends in 15 hr.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 10 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 10 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 5 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 5 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 22 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 22 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 14 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 14 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 473 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 278 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 60 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 60 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 10 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 5 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 20 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 10 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 29 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 27 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 27 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 423 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 253 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 50 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 100 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 20 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 220 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 15 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 60 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 15 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 60 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 60 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 10 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 8 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 8 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 56 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 30 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 26 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 5 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 5 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 80 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 46 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 17 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 10 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 7 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 47 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 43 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 4 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 6 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 6 |
| 43 min. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 5 |
| 43 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.