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Updated 5 min. ago

100 %
chance
Total volume
$615.1K
24h vol.
$615.1K
1w vol.
$615.1K
1m vol.
$615.1K
Liquidity
$400.6K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Aug 2, 2026
End date
Aug 4, 2026
ends in 4 hr.
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 450 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 450 |
| 18 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 150 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 150 |
| 19 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 4,241 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 4,241 |
| 19 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 20 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 13 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 13 |
| 21 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 46 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 46 |
| 21 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 0 |
| 21 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 232 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 232 |
| 26 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 24 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 24 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 27 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
| 27 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 417 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 417 |
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 473 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 473 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 123 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 123 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 4 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 4 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 883 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 883 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 100 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 156 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 156 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,000 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,000 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 471 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 471 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 500 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 500 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 143 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 143 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.