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Updated 2 min. ago

87 %
chance
Total volume
$97.8K
24h vol.
$81K
1w vol.
$97.8K
1m vol.
$97.8K
Liquidity
$5.5K
Bid / Ask
86¢ / 88¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
88¢
Start date
Aug 8, 2026
End date
Aug 12, 2026
ends in 6 hr.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 10 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 10 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 5 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 5 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 30 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 30 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 1,915 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 36 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 348 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 93 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 50 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 50 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 307 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 70 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 230 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 732 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 74 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 10 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 20 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 44 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 1,250 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 259 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 305 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 268 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 7 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 5 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 50 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 50 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 100 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 50 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 50 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 5 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 43 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 51 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 59 min. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 200 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 129 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 59 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.