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Updated 1 min. ago

0 %
chance
Total volume
$332.6K
24h vol.
$323.1K
1w vol.
$332.6K
1m vol.
$332.6K
Liquidity
$841.4K
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Aug 16, 2026
End date
Aug 20, 2026
ends in 2 hr.
Failed to load orderbook: Polymarket request failed (404) for https://clob.polymarket.com/book?token_id=25130955772391258512814785486882673577077165448554727253227686715313067196889
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 449 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 449 |
| 7 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 11 |
| 7 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 11 |
| 7 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 55 |
| 7 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 55 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 102 |
| 15 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 102 |
| 18 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 22 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 28 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 19 |
| 44 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 19 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 8 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 11 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 11 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 37 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 37 |
| 59 min. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,560 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,560 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 211 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 211 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 12 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 12 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 200 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 200 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 275 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 275 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 85 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 85 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 545 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 545 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.