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Updated 1 day ago

40 %
chance
Total volume
$999.776
24h vol.
$999.776
1w vol.
$999.776
1m vol.
$999.776
Liquidity
$25.8K
Bid / Ask
39¢ / 40¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
40¢
Start date
Aug 18, 2026
End date
Aug 26, 2026
ends in 6 days
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (31)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 40¢ | 13 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 60¢ | 13 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 61¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 592 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 587 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 8 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 8 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 59¢ | 208 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 45 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 59¢ | 35 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 59¢ | 128 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 35 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 57¢ | 35 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 59¢ | 2 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 2 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 128 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 57¢ | 128 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.