← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 5 min. ago
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Politics
95 %
chance
▲ +11.5%24h▲ +15.5%1W
Yes 95¢No 6¢
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
9 outcomesTotal volume
$658K
24h vol.
$87.3K
1w vol.
$252.4K
1m vol.
$475.4K
Liquidity
$161.7K
Bid / Ask
94¢ / 95¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
95¢
Start date
Sep 15, 2025
End date
Aug 4, 2026
ends in 4 days
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Bids (buy)Size
94¢$10,358
93¢$7,406
92¢$14,635
91¢$10,116
90¢$1,036
89¢$11,007
88¢$2,159
87¢$9,313
86¢$11,031
85¢$5,131
Asks (sell)Size
95¢$1,029
96¢$182
97¢$4,522
98¢$6,565
99¢$6,374
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 49%Sells 51%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5 |
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 11 |
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 11 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 3 |
| 51 min. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 3 |
| 51 min. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 105 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 105 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 555 |
| 51 min. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 555 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 54 min. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 22 |
| 54 min. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 22 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 1 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 1 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 6 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 38 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 38 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.