← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 min. ago

54 %
chance
Total volume
$40.3K
24h vol.
$40.1K
1w vol.
$40.1K
1m vol.
$40.1K
Liquidity
$158.813
Bid / Ask
31¢ / 76¢
Spread 45¢
Last trade
40¢
Start date
Jun 30, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 4 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 35¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (42)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5,044 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 5,000 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 44 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 20 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 37 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 37 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 36 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 17 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 86 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 86 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.