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Updated 5 days ago
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?
Tech
100 %
chance
▲ +0.5%24h▲ +1.2%1W
Yes 100¢No 0¢
Next Claude Opus released by...?
5 outcomesTotal volume
$80.7K
24h vol.
$76.8K
1w vol.
$79.5K
1m vol.
$80.7K
Liquidity
$122.2K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Jul 1, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Orderbook
Bids (buy)Size
100¢$98,025
99¢$14,400
99¢$10
99¢$250
98¢$813
98¢$1,450
97¢$33
94¢$47
94¢$18
86¢$600
Asks (sell)Size
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 100%Sells 0%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 29,055 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,000 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,000 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 25,055 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 25,001 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 24,945 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 41 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,555 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,555 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 7,003 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7,003 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 197 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 197 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 197 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 197 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 200 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 200 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 197 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 197 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 9,515 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,555 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7,200 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 250 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 401 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 200 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 201 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 594 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 494 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 100 |
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