← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 5 days ago
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?
Tech
100 %
chance
▲ +25.0%24h
Yes 100¢No 0¢
Next Claude Opus released by...?
5 outcomesTotal volume
$40.3K
24h vol.
$38.2K
1w vol.
$40.3K
1m vol.
$40.3K
Liquidity
$55.6K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Jul 22, 2026
End date
Jul 29, 2026
ends in 12 hr.
Orderbook
Bids (buy)Size
100¢$44,136
100¢$7,759
98¢$657
98¢$2,000
98¢$400
92¢$23
92¢$31
91¢$167
90¢$551
89¢$8
Asks (sell)Size
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 84%Sells 16%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 18 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 18 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2,050 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,950 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 16 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 16 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5,627 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 150 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 3,312 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,000 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,000 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 46 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 46 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 1 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 1 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 22 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 22 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 1,413 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 400 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 300 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 300 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 154 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 154 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 427 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 300 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 77 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 41 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 3 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 3 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 341 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 11 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 300 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 670 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 270 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 400 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.