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Updated 2 wk. ago

16 %
chance
Total volume
$77.2K
24h vol.
$23.4K
1w vol.
$50.5K
1m vol.
$76.3K
Liquidity
$17.7K
Bid / Ask
15¢ / 17¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
15¢
Start date
Jul 9, 2026
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 1,540 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 388 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 182 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 17 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 40 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 299 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 802 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 239 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 28 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 22 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 323 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 323 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 940 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 465 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 475 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 940 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 475 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 465 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.