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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
Tech
49 %
chance
▼ −8.5%24h▼ −6.5%1W
Yes 49¢No 51¢
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
6 outcomesTotal volume
$5.4K
24h vol.
$3.2K
1w vol.
$3.7K
1m vol.
$5.4K
Liquidity
$3.6K
Bid / Ask
48¢ / 50¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
51¢
Start date
Jul 23, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 4 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Bids (buy)Size
48¢$139
47¢$200
42¢$80
36¢$80
35¢$297
34¢$1,802
33¢$603
32¢$1,341
30¢$929
26¢$55
Asks (sell)Size
50¢$199
51¢$210
57¢$32
58¢$106
70¢$50
72¢$10
80¢$468
81¢$220
82¢$85
83¢$282
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 78%Sells 22%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 140 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 40 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 40 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 25 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 41 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 41 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 37 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 37 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 210 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 50 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 60 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 190 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 190 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 38 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 38 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 40 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 40 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 125 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 125 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 2,234 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 50 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 65 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 60 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 40 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 18 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 40 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 40 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 40 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 75 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 250 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 40 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 40 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 76 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 100 |
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