← Dashboard · Politics
Updated just now
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Other
27 %
chance
▼ −1.0%1h▲ +5.0%24h▲ +16.0%1W
Yes 27¢No 74¢
Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
25 outcomes- 220-23959 %
- 240-25927 %
- 200-21912 %
- 260-2793 %
- 440-4591 %
Total volume
$142K
24h vol.
$44.9K
1w vol.
$140.2K
1m vol.
$142K
Liquidity
$16.8K
Bid / Ask
26¢ / 27¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
26¢
Start date
Jul 25, 2026
End date
Aug 4, 2026
ends in 20 hr.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Bids (buy)Size
26¢$39
25¢$130
24¢$480
23¢$1,071
22¢$488
21¢$1,193
20¢$310
19¢$637
18¢$685
17¢$456
Asks (sell)Size
27¢$234
28¢$225
29¢$81
30¢$98
31¢$447
32¢$567
33¢$457
34¢$607
35¢$513
36¢$345
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 64%Sells 36%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 9 |
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 9 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 9 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 9 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 817 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 66 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 15 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 10 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 26 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 170 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 60 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 60 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 29 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 325 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 51 |
| 17 min. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 2 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 2 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 35 |
| 17 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 35 |
| 17 min. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 1 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 1 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 34 |
| 17 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 24 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 10 |
| 17 min. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 1,265 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 1,216 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 10 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 10 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 29 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 25 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 19 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 7 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 10 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 10 |
| 24 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 1 |
| 24 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 53 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 23 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 20 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 10 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 5 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 5 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 3 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 3 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 3 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 3 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 120 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 60 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 60 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.