← Dashboard · Politics
Updated just now
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Other
12 %
chance
▼ −0.3%1h▼ −15.3%24h▼ −2.5%1W
Yes 12¢No 88¢
Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
25 outcomes- 220-23959 %
- 240-25927 %
- 200-21912 %
- 260-2793 %
- 440-4591 %
Total volume
$232.7K
24h vol.
$97.8K
1w vol.
$230K
1m vol.
$232.7K
Liquidity
$20.6K
Bid / Ask
12¢ / 12¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
12¢
Start date
Jul 25, 2026
End date
Aug 4, 2026
ends in 20 hr.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Bids (buy)Size
9¢$109
8¢$9
8¢$100
8¢$80
8¢$30
8¢$279
8¢$432
8¢$75
7¢$6
7¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$105
11¢$1,584
11¢$80
11¢$80
12¢$273
12¢$911
12¢$94
12¢$23
13¢$50
13¢$87
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 71%Sells 29%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 100 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 40 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 40 |
| 27 min. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 10 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 10 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 54 |
| 28 min. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 19 |
| 28 min. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 35 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 48 |
| 28 min. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 18 |
| 28 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 30 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 33 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 3 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 30 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 33 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 33 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 104 |
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 104 |
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 13 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 76 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 76 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 14 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 14 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 535 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 30 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 40 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 40 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 165 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 100 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 40 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 40 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 40 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 40 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 14 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 14 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 14 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 4 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 10 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 66 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 40 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 26 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 85 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 32 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 10 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 10 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 10 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.