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Updated 4 min. ago

18 %
chance
Total volume
$134.1K
24h vol.
$38.8K
1w vol.
$128.5K
1m vol.
$134.1K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Bid / Ask
17¢ / 18¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
18¢
Start date
Aug 18, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 4 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 9 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 9 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 101 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 1 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 50 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 50 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 16 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 16 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 26 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 26 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 5 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 0 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 683 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 683 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 164 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 164 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 96 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 4 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 133 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 133 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 112 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 111 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 48 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 48 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 75 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 75 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 33 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 31 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 51 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 119 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 119 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 22 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.