← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 6 days ago
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Other
100 %
chance
▲ +3.4%24h▲ +1.6%1W
Yes 100¢No 0¢
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$220K
24h vol.
$72.4K
1w vol.
$96.5K
1m vol.
$131.1K
Liquidity
$77.4K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Jan 6, 2026
End date
Jul 30, 2026
ends in 11 hr.
Orderbook
Bids (buy)Size
100¢$45,211
100¢$418
100¢$2,000
98¢$77
98¢$14,400
98¢$1,000
97¢$1,000
94¢$210
94¢$35
94¢$191
Asks (sell)Size
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 81%Sells 19%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 515 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 515 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 125 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 125 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 80 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 80 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 9 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 44 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 44 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 12 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6,014 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6,014 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 286 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 286 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,111 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,111 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6,200 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6,200 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,000 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3,005 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 803 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 12 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,190 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5,010 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5,010 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5,005 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 4,992 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,001 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,001 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,111 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,111 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 284 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 284 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 185 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 185 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3,029 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3,029 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10,000 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 15 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 15 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 200 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.