← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 6 days ago
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Other
100 %
chance
▲ +3.2%24h▲ +1.7%1W
Yes 100¢No 0¢
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$119.9K
24h vol.
$14.7K
1w vol.
$20.6K
1m vol.
$34.2K
Liquidity
$41.9K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Jan 6, 2026
End date
Jul 30, 2026
ends in 12 hr.
Orderbook
Bids (buy)Size
100¢$27,026
99¢$116
99¢$77
97¢$64
97¢$1,107
97¢$2,000
97¢$1,000
95¢$340
95¢$134
95¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 68%Sells 32%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 100 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 35 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 21 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 14 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 566 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 397 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 160 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6,654 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 205 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 4,610 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 840 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 40 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 70 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 70 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 175 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 140 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 31 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 1,130 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 1,130 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 101 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 101 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 46 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 6 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2,600 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 18 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1,000 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1,000 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 528 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 54 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 566 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 566 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 46 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 6 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 40 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 1¢ | 590 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 579 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 11 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 40 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 40 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.