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Updated 6 days ago
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Other
100 %
chance
▲ +2.4%24h▲ +1.7%1W
Yes 100¢No 0¢
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$90K
24h vol.
$17.1K
1w vol.
$24.6K
1m vol.
$34.9K
Liquidity
$45.9K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Jan 6, 2026
End date
Jul 30, 2026
ends in 12 hr.
Orderbook
Bids (buy)Size
100¢$33,331
100¢$144
99¢$116
98¢$77
97¢$276
97¢$1,000
97¢$44
96¢$18
96¢$7
96¢$139
Asks (sell)Size
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 81%Sells 19%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,062 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,062 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 952 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 952 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 13 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 13 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 11,000 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 4,851 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 144 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5,000 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 100 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 26 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 12 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 14 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 365 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 365 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 391 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 391 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,850 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 800 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 200 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 160 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 155 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 184 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 93 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 25 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 21 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 21 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 12 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 23 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 33 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 11 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 36 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 36 |
◆ Smart money
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