Academy
Pro+ Academy
Courses that teach and test, with a certificate at the end - and practice a textbook cannot give you: real prediction markets that have already resolved, your estimate against the market's, and numbers that show whether you are getting better.
Courses
Structured courses with learning objectives, worked examples, practice in every lesson, a module check after every module and a final exam. Pass it and a certificate appears in your account.
- Starter
Prediction Market Foundations
From what a contract pays to your first honest forecast: prices as probabilities, the order book and its costs, the rules that settle a market, and how good market prices have really been.
12 lessons · about 2.7 hours
Open course - Applied
Forecasting & Calibration
From a reference class to a number you can defend and a record you can learn from: combining base rates, updating with Bayes, scoring rules, calibrating yourself, aggregating forecasts and keeping a journal.
12 lessons · about 3 hours
Open course - Advanced
Trading Prediction Markets
From a probability to a position: expected value after costs, sizing with Kelly and its fractions, executing against a real order book, exits and hedges, ladders and multi-outcome markets, and who is on the other side of your trade.
12 lessons · about 3.1 hours
Open course
Practice
- Calibration lab
Calibration lab
Estimate real, resolved markets and compare your score with the market's on exactly the same questions.
Open the lab - Spaced review
Spaced review
The flashcards from your lessons and the glossary terms they rely on, brought back on a schedule that stretches as you learn them.
Open your review
The Academy is a Pro+ feature
What the Academy trains and how it scores you is public. Working through it, with your answers and numbers saved to your account, comes with Pro+.