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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?

Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?

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76 %

chance

▲ +0.7%24h▼ −19.4%1W
Yes 76¢No 24¢

Total volume

$19K

24h vol.

$10.504

1w vol.

$10.504

1m vol.

$14.844

Liquidity

$62.75

Bid / Ask

52¢ / 100¢

Spread 47¢

Last trade

97¢

Start date

Jan 5, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,758 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.5 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 58¢
Bids (buy)Size
33¢$13
28¢$4
8¢$17
6¢$360
5¢$600
Asks (sell)Size
91¢$33
97¢$50
98¢$150

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 44%Sells 56%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell45¢150
1 mo. agoSell67¢1
1 mo. agoBuy43¢30
1 mo. agoSell55¢50
1 mo. agoSell54¢25
1 mo. agoBuy46¢43
2 mo. agoBuy12¢17
2 mo. agoBuy88¢17
2 mo. agoSell5¢25
2 mo. agoBuy5¢25
2 mo. agoBuy17¢25
2 mo. agoBuy83¢16
2 mo. agoSell17¢9
2 mo. agoSell4¢257
2 mo. agoBuy4¢157
2 mo. agoBuy5¢50
2 mo. agoSell95¢51
2 mo. agoSell39¢79
2 mo. agoSell62¢50
2 mo. agoSell58¢29
2 mo. agoSell46¢130
2 mo. agoSell55¢22
2 mo. agoBuy46¢108
2 mo. agoSell58¢187
2 mo. agoSell43¢87
2 mo. agoBuy59¢100
3 mo. agoSell63¢113
3 mo. agoBuy63¢6
3 mo. agoBuy63¢7
3 mo. agoBuy63¢100
3 mo. agoSell67¢0
3 mo. agoBuy67¢0
3 mo. agoSell67¢173
3 mo. agoBuy67¢173
3 mo. agoSell67¢5
3 mo. agoBuy67¢5
3 mo. agoBuy67¢22
3 mo. agoSell67¢10
3 mo. agoSell67¢7
3 mo. agoSell67¢5
3 mo. agoSell63¢77
3 mo. agoBuy62¢22
3 mo. agoBuy63¢10
3 mo. agoBuy63¢6
3 mo. agoBuy63¢5
3 mo. agoSell36¢33
3 mo. agoBuy65¢133
3 mo. agoBuy35¢100
3 mo. agoBuy36¢33
3 mo. agoBuy53¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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