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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Crypto
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86 %

chance

▼ −0.9%1h▲ +3.2%24h▲ +5.6%1W
Yes 86¢No 14¢

Bitcoin best month in 2026?

4 outcomes
See all 4 outcomes

Total volume

$31.9K

24h vol.

$20.23

1w vol.

$441.816

1m vol.

$2.8K

Liquidity

$5.6K

Bid / Ask

81¢ / 92¢

Spread 10¢

Last trade

85¢

Start date

Jan 29, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
85¢$37
85¢$160
83¢$87
83¢$505
79¢$153
78¢$40
78¢$20
77¢$20
77¢$20
76¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
86¢$183
86¢$92
86¢$172
91¢$100
92¢$50
93¢$40
93¢$800
93¢$4,763
93¢$2,210
94¢$5,146

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✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 12%Sells 88%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy15¢13
1 mo. agoBuy85¢13
1 mo. agoSell85¢106
1 mo. agoSell15¢93
1 mo. agoSell15¢13
1 mo. agoSell86¢5
1 mo. agoBuy86¢5
1 mo. agoSell14¢5
1 mo. agoBuy14¢5
1 mo. agoSell86¢1
1 mo. agoBuy86¢1
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoSell15¢10
1 mo. agoSell85¢9
1 mo. agoSell15¢9
1 mo. agoSell85¢100
1 mo. agoBuy85¢100
1 mo. agoBuy15¢20
1 mo. agoSell15¢20
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoSell15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoSell15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoSell15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy15¢8
1 mo. agoSell15¢8
1 mo. agoSell15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoSell15¢25
1 mo. agoBuy15¢25
1 mo. agoSell17¢113
1 mo. agoSell83¢113
1 mo. agoSell17¢220
1 mo. agoSell83¢220
1 mo. agoSell17¢220
1 mo. agoSell83¢220
1 mo. agoSell17¢200
1 mo. agoSell83¢200
1 mo. agoSell83¢0
1 mo. agoSell18¢0
1 mo. agoSell17¢49
1 mo. agoSell83¢49
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoSell79¢27
1 mo. agoSell21¢0
1 mo. agoBuy79¢27
1 mo. agoSell17¢15
1 mo. agoSell83¢15

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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