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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

SportsWorld Seriesworld-seriesAmerican Leagueamerican-league
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18 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −25.0%24h▼ −20.5%1W
Yes 18¢No 82¢

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

2 outcomes

Total volume

$900.3K

24h vol.

$6.2K

1w vol.

$42.7K

1m vol.

$154.3K

Liquidity

$61.3K

Bid / Ask

18¢ / 19¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Feb 19, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,878 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.5% resolved YES. That is 5.4 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
36¢$48
36¢$5,000
36¢$1,966
36¢$50
36¢$501
36¢$464
36¢$8,566
36¢$5,010
35¢$500
35¢$300
Asks (sell)Size
38¢$7
38¢$60
38¢$150
38¢$52
38¢$120
38¢$225
39¢$726
39¢$1,159
39¢$2,745
39¢$514

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoBuy64¢10
1 wk. agoBuy36¢5
1 wk. agoSell64¢6
1 wk. agoBuy38¢17
1 wk. agoBuy62¢17
1 wk. agoSell63¢200
1 wk. agoBuy63¢200
1 wk. agoSell63¢100
1 wk. agoBuy63¢100
1 wk. agoSell64¢50
1 wk. agoSell36¢50
1 wk. agoBuy64¢1,366
1 wk. agoBuy36¢300
1 wk. agoBuy36¢758
1 wk. agoBuy37¢300
1 wk. agoBuy37¢8
1 wk. agoBuy38¢3,000
1 wk. agoBuy62¢90
1 wk. agoSell38¢2,797
1 wk. agoSell38¢30
1 wk. agoSell38¢45
1 wk. agoSell38¢38
1 wk. agoSell36¢51
1 wk. agoBuy36¢45
1 wk. agoBuy36¢6
1 wk. agoBuy37¢29
1 wk. agoSell37¢9
1 wk. agoSell37¢20
1 wk. agoBuy37¢29
1 wk. agoBuy63¢29
1 wk. agoSell62¢433
1 wk. agoSell39¢203
1 wk. agoSell38¢30
1 wk. agoSell38¢100
1 wk. agoBuy62¢100
1 wk. agoBuy63¢3,105
1 wk. agoSell63¢5
1 wk. agoBuy37¢100
1 wk. agoBuy37¢3,000
1 wk. agoSell61¢30
1 wk. agoSell39¢30
1 wk. agoBuy63¢154
1 wk. agoSell63¢7
1 wk. agoBuy37¢146
1 wk. agoBuy63¢5
1 wk. agoSell63¢5
1 wk. agoBuy63¢30
1 wk. agoBuy37¢30
1 wk. agoBuy62¢50
1 wk. agoBuy38¢50

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

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