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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

SportsWNBAwnbaBasketballbasketball
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66 %

chance

▼ −0.7%1h▲ +0.5%24h▲ +12.2%1W
Yes 66¢No 35¢

WNBA: 2026 Champion

16 outcomes
See all 16 outcomes

Total volume

$147.4K

24h vol.

$1.7K

1w vol.

$19.1K

1m vol.

$72.6K

Liquidity

$9.7K

Bid / Ask

64¢ / 67¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

67¢

Start date

Apr 6, 2026

End date

Nov 15, 2026

ends in 4 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,561 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 67.1% resolved YES. That is 5.6 points less often than their average price of 72.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$170
10¢$109
10¢$120
10¢$160
10¢$150
10¢$94
9¢$204
9¢$90
9¢$267
9¢$300
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$116
11¢$100
11¢$100
12¢$68
12¢$350
12¢$50
12¢$303
13¢$195
13¢$108
13¢$400

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 71%Sells 29%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy11¢276
1 mo. agoSell11¢16
1 mo. agoBuy89¢260
1 mo. agoSell11¢50
1 mo. agoBuy11¢50
1 mo. agoBuy11¢50
1 mo. agoBuy89¢50
1 mo. agoBuy89¢100
1 mo. agoSell89¢100
1 mo. agoBuy11¢66
1 mo. agoBuy89¢66
1 mo. agoSell89¢134
1 mo. agoBuy89¢134
1 mo. agoSell89¢98
1 mo. agoBuy89¢98
1 mo. agoSell89¢350
1 mo. agoBuy89¢231
1 mo. agoBuy89¢100
1 mo. agoSell11¢19
1 mo. agoBuy11¢1,280
1 mo. agoBuy89¢100
1 mo. agoBuy89¢100
1 mo. agoBuy89¢350
1 mo. agoBuy89¢50
1 mo. agoBuy89¢100
1 mo. agoSell11¢100
1 mo. agoBuy90¢50
1 mo. agoSell11¢100
1 mo. agoSell10¢100
1 mo. agoSell10¢115
1 mo. agoSell10¢114
1 mo. agoBuy10¢75
1 mo. agoSell10¢75
1 mo. agoSell10¢400
1 mo. agoBuy10¢400
1 mo. agoBuy10¢305
1 mo. agoSell10¢305
1 mo. agoBuy90¢10
1 mo. agoBuy10¢10
1 mo. agoBuy90¢51
1 mo. agoBuy10¢5
1 mo. agoBuy10¢45
1 mo. agoBuy90¢50
1 mo. agoBuy10¢50
1 mo. agoBuy90¢10
1 mo. agoBuy10¢10
1 mo. agoBuy90¢215
1 mo. agoBuy10¢215
1 mo. agoBuy90¢21
1 mo. agoBuy10¢21

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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