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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
14 %
chance
LALIGA: 2027 Champion
20 outcomesTotal volume
$650.3K
24h vol.
$7.5K
1w vol.
$12.8K
1m vol.
$93.6K
Liquidity
$254.7K
Bid / Ask
14¢ / 15¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
15¢
Start date
Jul 2, 2026
End date
Jun 15, 2027
ends in 8 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 3 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 3 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 58 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 58 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 21 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 21 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 250 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 250 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 45 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 45 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 2,776 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 776 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 2,000 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 45 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 45 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 65 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 65 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 105 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 105 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 462 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 462 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 21 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 21 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 42 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 42 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 47 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 47 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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