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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
15 %
chance
Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify
15 outcomesTotal volume
$3.8K
24h vol.
$240.97
1w vol.
$672.095
1m vol.
$3K
Liquidity
$1K
Bid / Ask
8¢ / 22¢
Spread 14¢
Last trade
27¢
Start date
Jul 29, 2026
End date
Dec 7, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 120 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 48 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 156 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 57 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 64 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 24 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 120 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 60 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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