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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?

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15 %

chance

▲ +3.5%24h▼ −2.2%1W
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Total volume

$3.8K

24h vol.

$240.97

1w vol.

$672.095

1m vol.

$3K

Liquidity

$1K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 22¢

Spread 14¢

Last trade

27¢

Start date

Jul 29, 2026

End date

Dec 7, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$5
3¢$500
1¢$57
1¢$205
1¢$45
1¢$123
0¢$188
0¢$33
0¢$220
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$12
24¢$20
44¢$20
50¢$100
60¢$13
70¢$33
80¢$30
80¢$50
90¢$8
90¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 77%Sells 23%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoSell5¢8
1 mo. agoSell5¢12
1 mo. agoBuy95¢120
1 mo. agoBuy5¢40
1 mo. agoBuy5¢60
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy93¢12
1 mo. agoBuy7¢12
1 mo. agoBuy92¢80
1 mo. agoBuy8¢40
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy86¢48
1 mo. agoSell87¢20
1 mo. agoSell86¢28
1 mo. agoSell87¢156
1 mo. agoSell14¢20
1 mo. agoBuy87¢20
1 mo. agoBuy87¢20
1 mo. agoSell13¢20
1 mo. agoSell13¢19
1 mo. agoSell12¢57
2 mo. agoBuy95¢40
2 mo. agoBuy5¢20
2 mo. agoBuy6¢20
2 mo. agoBuy93¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy67¢64
2 mo. agoBuy33¢24
2 mo. agoBuy33¢20
2 mo. agoBuy33¢20
2 mo. agoBuy32¢3
2 mo. agoSell32¢3
2 mo. agoSell38¢20
2 mo. agoBuy38¢20
2 mo. agoBuy60¢120
2 mo. agoBuy40¢20
2 mo. agoBuy40¢20
2 mo. agoBuy40¢20
2 mo. agoBuy40¢40
2 mo. agoBuy40¢20
2 mo. agoBuy56¢20
2 mo. agoBuy44¢20
2 mo. agoBuy55¢60
2 mo. agoBuy45¢20
2 mo. agoBuy45¢40
2 mo. agoBuy49¢12
2 mo. agoBuy51¢12
3 mo. agoBuy50¢20

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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