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Updated 5 days ago
Will Bo Nix finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
5 %
chance
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring QBs
31 outcomes- Fernando Mendoza46 %
- Patrick Mahomes42 %
- Dak Prescott37 %
- Jared Goff10 %
- Jameis Winston7 %
- Cam Ward7 %
- Aaron Rodgers6 %
- Kyler Murray6 %
- Bo Nix5 %
- C.J. Stroud5 %
- Jacoby Brissett4 %
- Shedeur Sanders4 %
- Marcus Mariota3 %
- Ty Simpson3 %
- Nick Mullens3 %
- Malik Willis3 %
- J.J. McCarthy3 %
- Carson Beck2 %
- Tommy DeVito2 %
- Tyson Bagent2 %
- Mac Jones2 %
- Jaxson Dart2 %
- Geno Smith2 %
- Sam Howell1 %
- Tua Tagovailoa1 %
- Baker Mayfield1 %
- Justin Fields1 %
- Joe Flacco1 %
- Jarrett Stidham1 %
- Deshaun Watson0 %
- Sam Darnold0 %
Total volume
$302
24h vol.
$201
1w vol.
$201
1m vol.
$302
Liquidity
$277.614
Bid / Ask
2¢ / 7¢
Spread 5¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Aug 21, 2026
End date
Jan 27, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 5¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (11)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 181 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 101 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 101 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 46 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 55 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
◆ Underlying asset
How far is the move, really?
Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.
Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature
See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.