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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
16 %
chance
Worlds 2026: Winner
16 outcomesTotal volume
$116.6K
24h vol.
$9K
1w vol.
$73.3K
1m vol.
$116K
Liquidity
$235.8K
Bid / Ask
15¢ / 16¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
16¢
Start date
Sep 9, 2026
End date
Nov 29, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,878 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.5% resolved YES. That is 5.4 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 13 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 13 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 8 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 8 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 25 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 64 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 49 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 42 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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