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Updated 1 hr. ago

Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
17 %
chance
Worlds 2026: Winner
16 outcomesTotal volume
$146.6K
24h vol.
$33.9K
1w vol.
$91.3K
1m vol.
$146.2K
Liquidity
$195.1K
Bid / Ask
16¢ / 17¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
16¢
Start date
Sep 9, 2026
End date
Nov 29, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,878 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.5% resolved YES. That is 5.4 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 7,590 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 677 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 150 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 6,757 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 400 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 400 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 255 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 255 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 12,149 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 400 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 2,413 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 255 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 150 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 129 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 2,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 5,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 120 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 300 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 1,224 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 931 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 931 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 28 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 28 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 195 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 195 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 150 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 150 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 50 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 50 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 245 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 245 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 220 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 220 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 138 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 138 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 229 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 229 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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