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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Gabriel Tardio qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?
92 %
chance
2027 PPA Tour Finals: Player to Qualify (Men's)
13 outcomesTotal volume
$485.43
24h vol.
$363.43
1w vol.
$485.43
1m vol.
$485.43
Liquidity
$96.061
Bid / Ask
88¢ / 97¢
Spread 9¢
Last trade
95¢
Start date
Sep 14, 2026
End date
May 10, 2027
ends in 7 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 364 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 85.4% resolved YES. That is 4.4 points less often than their average price of 89.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (24)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 322 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 54 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 107 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 21 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.