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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Jade Kawamoto reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?

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9 %

chance

▲ +1.0%24h
Yes 9¢No 92¢

Total volume

$416

24h vol.

$416

1w vol.

$416

1m vol.

$416

Liquidity

$311.91

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 10¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Sep 14, 2026

End date

May 10, 2027

ends in 7 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
19¢$317
13¢$5
12¢$20
11¢$120
10¢$220
9¢$10
6¢$20
1¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
25¢$153
98¢$6
99¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (20)

Buys 79%Sells 21%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell92¢151
1 mo. agoBuy92¢151
1 mo. agoBuy8¢100
1 mo. agoBuy92¢49
1 mo. agoBuy92¢51
1 mo. agoBuy8¢100
1 mo. agoBuy92¢100
1 mo. agoSell92¢1
1 mo. agoSell8¢1
1 mo. agoSell92¢1
1 mo. agoBuy92¢1
1 mo. agoSell92¢1
1 mo. agoBuy92¢1
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy92¢20
1 mo. agoSell92¢21
1 mo. agoBuy92¢1
1 mo. agoBuy92¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢21
1 mo. agoBuy92¢21

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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