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Updated 2 wk. ago

Buffalo vs. Toledo

Buffalo vs. Toledo

SportssportsCFB (All)cfbGames
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100 %

chance

▲ +5.1%1h▲ +90.5%24h▲ +83.0%1W
Yes 100¢No 0¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 17%.

Among 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 31% of the time — roughly one in 3.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$18.3K

24h vol.

$17.3K

1w vol.

$18.3K

1m vol.

$18.3K

Liquidity

$69.9K

Bid / Ask

100¢ / 100¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

100¢

Start date

Sep 28, 2026

End date

Oct 10, 2026

trading closed

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$2,144
7¢$2,104
6¢$52,988
5¢$1,776
4¢$600
3¢$4,223
1¢$14,658
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$61,362
11¢$2,907
12¢$1,176
13¢$1,605
14¢$650
15¢$1,200
16¢$725
17¢$800
25¢$759
26¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades

No trades were found for this market.

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

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Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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Game page: Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets — schedule, venue and AI match scan

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