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Updated 12 min. ago

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

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60 %

chance

▼ −2.0%1h▲ +5.5%24h▲ +7.5%1W
Yes 60¢No 41¢

Total volume

$510.2K

24h vol.

$74.5K

1w vol.

$447.5K

1m vol.

$510.2K

Liquidity

$34.8K

Bid / Ask

59¢ / 60¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

60¢

Start date

Sep 29, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
59¢$1,205
58¢$2,197
57¢$8,265
56¢$4,100
55¢$2,834
54¢$4,000
53¢$2,074
52¢$3,480
51¢$3,200
50¢$2,131
Asks (sell)Size
60¢$5,347
61¢$1,482
62¢$4,176
63¢$1,578
64¢$1,600
65¢$300
66¢$300
67¢$200
68¢$100
69¢$3,200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 88%Sells 12%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
20 min. agoBuy59¢1,104
20 min. agoBuy41¢399
20 min. agoBuy41¢705
23 min. agoBuy59¢83
23 min. agoBuy41¢83
23 min. agoBuy41¢10
23 min. agoBuy59¢10
23 min. agoBuy59¢2
23 min. agoBuy41¢2
36 min. agoSell39¢0
36 min. agoBuy39¢0
36 min. agoBuy42¢681
36 min. agoBuy58¢649
36 min. agoBuy59¢20
36 min. agoSell40¢12
37 min. agoBuy39¢1,709
37 min. agoBuy61¢146
37 min. agoBuy61¢315
37 min. agoSell39¢100
37 min. agoSell39¢452
37 min. agoSell39¢697
37 min. agoBuy39¢327
37 min. agoBuy60¢161
37 min. agoBuy61¢166
37 min. agoBuy40¢146
37 min. agoBuy60¢29
37 min. agoBuy60¢117
55 min. agoBuy39¢28
55 min. agoSell39¢28
1 hr. agoBuy39¢15
1 hr. agoSell39¢15
1 hr. agoSell38¢42
1 hr. agoBuy38¢42
1 hr. agoSell39¢40
1 hr. agoBuy39¢40
1 hr. agoBuy61¢480
1 hr. agoBuy39¢360
1 hr. agoBuy39¢120
1 hr. agoBuy40¢90
1 hr. agoBuy60¢90
1 hr. agoBuy40¢761
1 hr. agoBuy60¢761
1 hr. agoBuy60¢225
1 hr. agoBuy40¢20
1 hr. agoSell60¢5
1 hr. agoBuy40¢100
1 hr. agoBuy40¢100
1 hr. agoBuy41¢163
1 hr. agoBuy59¢163
1 hr. agoBuy60¢46

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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