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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Mauricio Dubón win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?

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92 %

chance

▲ +18.2%1h▲ +33.6%24h▲ +83.4%1W
Yes 92¢No 8¢

Total volume

$210.3

24h vol.

$20

1w vol.

$150.3

1m vol.

$210.3

Liquidity

$54.963

Bid / Ask

86¢ / 98¢

Spread 12¢

Last trade

71¢

Start date

Sep 30, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 49¢
Bids (buy)Size
49¢$20
8¢$8
2¢$8
1¢$416
Asks (sell)Size
98¢$35
99¢$477

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (2)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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