Skip to content

← Dashboard · Sports

Updated 4 days ago

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-14?

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-14?

Other
Log in for watchlist

100 %

chance

▲ +65.0%24h▲ +65.0%1W
Yes 100¢No 0¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 35%.

Among 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 49% of the time — roughly one in 2.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$127.1K

24h vol.

$126.5K

1w vol.

$127.1K

1m vol.

$127.1K

Liquidity

$153.3K

Bid / Ask

100¢ / 100¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

100¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 15, 2026

trading closed

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size
100¢$107,621
99¢$700
99¢$577
99¢$26,437
96¢$100
96¢$88
90¢$14
90¢$10
81¢$15
80¢$30
Asks (sell)Size

No orders

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 26%Sells 74%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoSell100¢15
4 days agoSell0¢15
5 days agoSell100¢9
5 days agoSell0¢9
5 days agoSell100¢86
5 days agoSell0¢86
5 days agoSell100¢143
5 days agoSell0¢143
5 days agoSell100¢2
5 days agoSell0¢2
5 days agoSell100¢97
5 days agoSell0¢97
5 days agoSell100¢272
5 days agoSell0¢272
5 days agoSell100¢14
5 days agoSell0¢14
5 days agoSell100¢149
5 days agoSell0¢149
5 days agoSell100¢14
5 days agoSell0¢14
5 days agoSell100¢1,063
5 days agoSell0¢600
5 days agoBuy100¢100
5 days agoBuy100¢100
5 days agoBuy100¢100
5 days agoBuy100¢100
5 days agoBuy100¢63
5 days agoSell100¢3
5 days agoBuy100¢3
5 days agoSell100¢5
5 days agoBuy100¢5
5 days agoSell100¢76
5 days agoBuy100¢29
5 days agoBuy100¢47
5 days agoSell100¢97
5 days agoBuy100¢53
5 days agoBuy100¢44
5 days agoSell100¢156
5 days agoBuy100¢56
5 days agoBuy100¢100
5 days agoSell100¢12
5 days agoBuy100¢12
5 days agoBuy100¢50
5 days agoSell100¢50
5 days agoBuy1¢100
5 days agoBuy99¢100
5 days agoBuy1¢50
5 days agoBuy99¢50
5 days agoBuy1¢50
5 days agoBuy99¢50

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan
Game page: Palmeiras at Fluminense — schedule, venue and AI match scan

Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.