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Updated 2 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

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0 %

chance

▼ −63.4%1h▼ −63.4%24h▼ −67.5%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 67%.

Among 1,561 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 33% of the time — roughly one in 3.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$171.5K

24h vol.

$168.1K

1w vol.

$171.5K

1m vol.

$171.5K

Liquidity

$202K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 3, 2026

End date

Oct 18, 2026

trading closed

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$125,566
1¢$2,809
3¢$66
4¢$381
5¢$5,697
6¢$1,305
15¢$30
16¢$6
18¢$13
20¢$46

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 88%Sells 12%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell100¢1,500
2 days agoBuy100¢1,500
2 days agoSell100¢60
2 days agoBuy100¢60
2 days agoBuy0¢10,000
2 days agoBuy100¢10,000
2 days agoSell100¢69
2 days agoBuy100¢69
2 days agoSell100¢54
2 days agoBuy100¢54
2 days agoSell100¢186
2 days agoBuy100¢186
2 days agoSell100¢135
2 days agoBuy100¢135
2 days agoSell99¢50
2 days agoBuy99¢50
2 days agoSell99¢39
2 days agoBuy99¢39
2 days agoSell99¢287
2 days agoBuy99¢76
2 days agoBuy99¢211
2 days agoSell99¢10
2 days agoBuy99¢10
2 days agoSell99¢18
2 days agoBuy99¢18
2 days agoSell99¢3
2 days agoBuy99¢3
2 days agoSell99¢140
2 days agoBuy99¢140
2 days agoSell99¢5
2 days agoBuy99¢5
2 days agoSell99¢416
2 days agoBuy99¢416
2 days agoSell99¢14
2 days agoBuy99¢14
2 days agoBuy1¢27
2 days agoBuy99¢27
2 days agoSell99¢3
2 days agoBuy99¢3
2 days agoSell99¢56
2 days agoBuy99¢56
2 days agoSell99¢103
2 days agoBuy99¢103
2 days agoSell99¢5
2 days agoBuy99¢5
2 days agoBuy97¢61
2 days agoBuy3¢61
2 days agoBuy98¢102
2 days agoBuy2¢102
2 days agoBuy99¢51

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Game page: Marc-Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus — schedule, venue and AI match scan

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