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Updated 2 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)

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0 %

chance

▼ −27.5%1h▼ −27.5%24h▼ −28.4%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 29%.

Among 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 69% of the time — the expected outcome.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$204.5K

24h vol.

$213.1K

1w vol.

$217.9K

1m vol.

$218K

Liquidity

$176.9K

Bid / Ask

27¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Oct 3, 2026

End date

Oct 18, 2026

trading closed

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
27¢$54,593
26¢$46,843
25¢$22,752
24¢$17,716
23¢$5,532
1¢$63
Asks (sell)Size
28¢$26,665
29¢$58,221
30¢$46,821
31¢$14,638
33¢$2,216
34¢$5,532
51¢$15,000
52¢$15,000
85¢$13
88¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 98%Sells 2%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy73¢137
2 days agoBuy27¢137
2 days agoBuy73¢68
2 days agoBuy27¢68
2 days agoBuy73¢3
2 days agoBuy27¢3
2 days agoBuy28¢179
2 days agoSell28¢179
2 days agoBuy73¢41
2 days agoBuy27¢41
2 days agoBuy28¢680
2 days agoSell28¢680
2 days agoBuy28¢107
2 days agoSell28¢49
2 days agoSell28¢58
2 days agoBuy28¢36
2 days agoSell28¢36
2 days agoBuy28¢5,404
2 days agoBuy72¢7
2 days agoBuy72¢3,888
2 days agoBuy72¢250
2 days agoBuy72¢1,259
2 days agoBuy28¢18
2 days agoBuy72¢18
2 days agoBuy28¢54
2 days agoBuy72¢54
2 days agoBuy73¢4
2 days agoBuy27¢4
2 days agoBuy73¢189
2 days agoBuy27¢95
2 days agoBuy27¢94
2 days agoBuy73¢12,131
2 days agoBuy27¢4,906
2 days agoBuy27¢2,152
2 days agoBuy27¢252
2 days agoBuy27¢4,821
2 days agoBuy28¢13
2 days agoBuy72¢13
2 days agoSell27¢23
2 days agoBuy27¢23
2 days agoBuy28¢314
2 days agoBuy72¢314
2 days agoBuy28¢211
2 days agoBuy72¢211
2 days agoBuy73¢34
2 days agoBuy27¢34
2 days agoBuy73¢12,193
2 days agoBuy27¢1,272
2 days agoBuy27¢27
2 days agoBuy27¢1,073

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Game page: Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr — schedule, venue and AI match scan

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