Skip to content

← Dashboard · Sports

Updated 2 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Sports
Log in for watchlist

100 %

chance

▲ +65.5%1h▲ +66.5%24h▲ +71.0%1W
Yes 100¢No 0¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 32%.

Among 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 31% of the time — roughly one in 3.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$335.4K

24h vol.

$320.4K

1w vol.

$338.8K

1m vol.

$338.8K

Liquidity

$119.5K

Bid / Ask

100¢ / 100¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

100¢

Start date

Oct 3, 2026

End date

Oct 18, 2026

trading closed

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size
100¢$77,169
99¢$20,033
98¢$505
97¢$250
96¢$216
95¢$2,999
94¢$1,300
89¢$800
80¢$60
78¢$6
Asks (sell)Size

No orders

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell100¢13
2 days agoBuy100¢13
2 days agoSell100¢3
2 days agoBuy100¢3
2 days agoSell100¢2,680
2 days agoBuy100¢555
2 days agoBuy100¢1,000
2 days agoBuy100¢1,125
2 days agoSell100¢125
2 days agoBuy100¢125
2 days agoSell100¢390
2 days agoBuy100¢390
2 days agoSell100¢29
2 days agoBuy100¢29
2 days agoSell100¢1
2 days agoBuy100¢1
2 days agoSell100¢1,388
2 days agoBuy100¢1,388
2 days agoSell100¢30
2 days agoBuy100¢30
2 days agoSell100¢1,191
2 days agoBuy100¢1,191
2 days agoSell100¢341
2 days agoBuy100¢341
2 days agoSell100¢1,038
2 days agoBuy100¢1,013
2 days agoBuy100¢25
2 days agoBuy100¢2,194
2 days agoSell100¢2,102
2 days agoBuy0¢20
2 days agoSell100¢60
2 days agoBuy0¢11
2 days agoSell99¢309
2 days agoBuy99¢309
2 days agoSell99¢4,603
2 days agoBuy99¢3,543
2 days agoBuy99¢1,000
2 days agoBuy99¢60
2 days agoBuy100¢4
2 days agoBuy0¢4
2 days agoSell99¢116
2 days agoBuy99¢81
2 days agoSell1¢35
2 days agoBuy1¢131
2 days agoBuy99¢131
2 days agoSell97¢19
2 days agoBuy97¢19
2 days agoBuy2¢104
2 days agoBuy97¢33
2 days agoBuy98¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan
Game page: Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz — schedule, venue and AI match scan

Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.