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Updated 2 days ago

UFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

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100 %

chance

▲ +76.4%1h▲ +75.4%24h▲ +72.0%1W
Yes 100¢No 0¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 28%.

Among 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 31% of the time — roughly one in 3.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$180.1K

24h vol.

$160.5K

1w vol.

$180.1K

1m vol.

$180.1K

Liquidity

$170.7K

Bid / Ask

100¢ / 100¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

100¢

Start date

Oct 3, 2026

End date

Oct 18, 2026

trading closed

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size
100¢$102,594
99¢$577
99¢$1,826
96¢$216
95¢$5,332
90¢$10
77¢$60
77¢$60
77¢$352
77¢$60
Asks (sell)Size

No orders

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 56%Sells 44%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell100¢4
2 days agoBuy100¢4
2 days agoSell100¢63
2 days agoBuy100¢63
2 days agoSell100¢83
2 days agoBuy100¢83
2 days agoSell100¢1,000
2 days agoBuy100¢1,000
2 days agoSell100¢54
2 days agoBuy100¢54
2 days agoSell100¢100
2 days agoBuy100¢100
2 days agoSell100¢4
2 days agoBuy100¢4
2 days agoSell100¢42
2 days agoBuy100¢42
2 days agoSell100¢34
2 days agoBuy100¢34
2 days agoSell100¢83
2 days agoBuy100¢83
2 days agoSell99¢79
2 days agoBuy99¢79
2 days agoSell99¢14
2 days agoBuy99¢14
2 days agoBuy99¢24
2 days agoBuy1¢10
2 days agoBuy1¢14
2 days agoBuy98¢557
2 days agoSell98¢557
2 days agoSell96¢48
2 days agoBuy96¢48
2 days agoBuy99¢1
2 days agoBuy1¢1
2 days agoBuy99¢1
2 days agoBuy1¢1
2 days agoBuy99¢1
2 days agoBuy1¢1
2 days agoBuy97¢120
2 days agoBuy3¢5
2 days agoBuy3¢115
2 days agoBuy96¢60
2 days agoSell96¢60
2 days agoBuy96¢60
2 days agoSell96¢60
2 days agoBuy96¢168
2 days agoBuy4¢125
2 days agoSell96¢43
2 days agoBuy96¢60
2 days agoSell96¢60
2 days agoBuy96¢61

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Game page: Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler — schedule, venue and AI match scan

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