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Updated 1 day ago

Fresno State vs. San Diego State

Fresno State vs. San Diego State

SportssportsCFB (All)cfbGames
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0 %

chance

▼ −60.5%1h▼ −71.5%24h▼ −66.5%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 67%.

Among 1,561 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 33% of the time — roughly one in 3.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$119.3K

24h vol.

$119.1K

1w vol.

$119.3K

1m vol.

$119.3K

Liquidity

$86.2K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 6, 2026

End date

Oct 18, 2026

trading closed

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
1¢$2,780
3¢$875
4¢$5,730
5¢$27,896
6¢$2,010
7¢$272
8¢$4,000
11¢$1,375
12¢$4,000
15¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 96%Sells 4%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy91¢44
1 day agoBuy9¢44
1 day agoSell88¢204
1 day agoBuy88¢24
1 day agoBuy88¢180
1 day agoSell83¢50
1 day agoBuy83¢50
1 day agoBuy84¢917
1 day agoBuy16¢126
1 day agoBuy16¢756
1 day agoBuy16¢35
1 day agoBuy84¢1
1 day agoBuy16¢1
1 day agoBuy82¢4
1 day agoBuy18¢4
1 day agoBuy82¢5
1 day agoBuy18¢5
1 day agoBuy82¢3
1 day agoBuy18¢3
1 day agoBuy82¢131
1 day agoBuy18¢131
1 day agoBuy82¢3,296
1 day agoBuy18¢334
1 day agoBuy18¢1,000
1 day agoBuy18¢438
1 day agoBuy18¢537
1 day agoBuy18¢330
1 day agoSell82¢177
1 day agoBuy18¢300
1 day agoBuy18¢180
1 day agoSell19¢10
1 day agoBuy19¢10
1 day agoBuy24¢11
1 day agoBuy76¢11
1 day agoBuy77¢13
1 day agoBuy23¢13
1 day agoBuy77¢100
1 day agoBuy23¢5
1 day agoBuy23¢95
1 day agoBuy77¢5
1 day agoBuy23¢5
1 day agoBuy75¢60
1 day agoBuy24¢10
1 day agoBuy25¢10
1 day agoBuy25¢10
1 day agoBuy25¢10
1 day agoBuy25¢10
1 day agoBuy28¢10
1 day agoBuy76¢130
1 day agoBuy22¢3

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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Game page: Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs — schedule, venue and AI match scan

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