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Updated 5 hr. ago

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
41 %
chance
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
2 outcomes- O/U 0.5 Rounds93 %
- Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan41 %
Total volume
$56.5K
24h vol.
$29.8K
1w vol.
$45.9K
1m vol.
$56.5K
Liquidity
$26.2K
Bid / Ask
40¢ / 42¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
42¢
Start date
Oct 10, 2026
End date
Oct 25, 2026
ends in 6 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 8 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 8 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 265 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 60 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 30 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 100 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 75 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 48 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 48 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 156 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 25 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 25 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 30 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 76 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 951 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 432 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 250 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 5 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 264 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 2 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 2 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 120 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 120 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 1,049 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 1,004 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 45 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 8 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 8 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 2 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 2 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 20 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 20 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 1,648 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 50 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 10 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 1,588 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 60 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 60 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 12 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 10 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 2 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 190 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 190 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 205 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 125 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 50 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 30 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 75 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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