← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 5 days ago
Will "007: First Light" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?
16 %
chance
Golden Joystick Awards: Ultimate Game of the Year Winner
18 outcomes- Resident Evil Requiem55 %
- 007: First Light16 %
- Big Walk13 %
- Pokémon Pokopia12 %
- Forza Horizon 68 %
- Gears of War: E-Day8 %
- Crimson Desert7 %
- Pragmata5 %
- Mewgenics5 %
- Saros5 %
- The Blood of Dawnwalker4 %
- Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave3 %
- Star Wars Zero Company3 %
- LEGO Batman: Legacy of the Dark Knight3 %
- Valheim3 %
- Escape from Tarkov3 %
- Onimusha: Way of the Sword1 %
- Nioh 31 %
Total volume
$2K
24h vol.
$1.3K
1w vol.
$2K
1m vol.
$2K
Liquidity
$759.603
Bid / Ask
12¢ / 19¢
Spread 7¢
Last trade
12¢
Start date
Oct 13, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 45¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (4)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 76¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 45¢ | 20 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 55¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.