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Updated 10 hr. ago

Set 1 Winner: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell

Set 1 Winner: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell

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50 %

chance

▼ −15.5%24h
Yes 50¢No 51¢

Total volume

$717.145

24h vol.

$717.145

1w vol.

$717.145

1m vol.

$717.145

Liquidity

$102.3K

Bid / Ask

49¢ / 50¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

51¢

Start date

Oct 17, 2026

End date

Oct 26, 2026

ends in 6 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
49¢$35,636
48¢$602
27¢$15
22¢$2,274
21¢$19
10¢$6
9¢$300
1¢$34
Asks (sell)Size
50¢$50,100
51¢$118,306
60¢$5
67¢$5
68¢$2,500
69¢$501
70¢$502
80¢$3,122
81¢$21
86¢$29

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (17)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
13 hr. agoBuy50¢10
13 hr. agoBuy50¢10
13 hr. agoBuy50¢26
13 hr. agoBuy50¢6
13 hr. agoBuy50¢20
13 hr. agoBuy51¢530
13 hr. agoBuy49¢530
14 hr. agoBuy37¢104
14 hr. agoBuy63¢99
14 hr. agoBuy64¢5
14 hr. agoBuy50¢21
14 hr. agoBuy50¢21
14 hr. agoBuy40¢21
14 hr. agoBuy60¢20
14 hr. agoBuy63¢1
15 hr. agoBuy36¢5
15 hr. agoBuy64¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.